Bottom Line:
There remains a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across southwest Georgia and a small part of southeast Alabama with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) across the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend and most of southeast Alabama today. Large hail and damaging winds are the primary threats, but a brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Another round of strong to possibly severe storms will move through on Tuesday. Localized heavy rain is also possible.
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Overview:
A stationary front currently over central Alabama and central Georgia will move southward into southern Alabama and southern Georgia. Showers and thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the front, and a few storms may be severe with large hail and damaging winds. While the tornado risk is a bit lower, it is non-zero, and a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
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For Tuesday, the cold front will sink into the Florida counties. As it does so, another round of showers and thunderstorms will move through the area with a marginal risk of damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two.
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Widespread rainfall totals through Tuesday night will be around 2 to 4 inches across portions of southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia with lesser amounts elsewhere. However, should storms begin training, localized totals of greater than 4 inches are not out of the question. Totals this high could result in a localized flash flood risk. There is a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall both today and Tuesday across the area.